Saturday, September 17, 2011

GLOBAL ALERT: INCOMING CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS - High-Latitude Magnetic Storms, Global Wobble Shake & Magnetosphere in Disarray! UPDATE: GEOMAGNETIC STORM IN PROGRESS - CMEs Hits The Earth!!!


According to Spaceweather.com, the Sunspot 1289 poses a threat for Earth-directed C-Class solar flares, although there are no large coronal holes on the Earth-facing side of the Sun.

INCOMING CME
: Yesterday, Sept. 14th, an eruption near sunspot 1289 hurled a CME in the general direction of Earth. Analysts at the Goddard Space Weather Lab expect the cloud to deliver a glancing blow to our planet's magnetic field on Sept 17th around 04:30 UT. High-latitude magnetic storms are possible when the CME arrives.  GEOMAGNETIC STORM: A geomagnetic storm (Kp=5) is in progress following another impact from a coronal mass ejection(CME). AURORA WATCH: High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras tonight. A solar wind stream is buffeting Earth's magnetic field and causing intermittent geomagnetic storms around the poles. ACTIVE SUNSPOT: New sunspot AR11295 is emerging over the sun's northeastern limb and crackling with solar flares. The strongest so far, a C9.9-category blast, did something remarkable.
According to the Solar Watcher, a significant 7.0 or higher magnitude earthquake is possible based on a southern hemisphere coronal hole and the Sunspot 1289. Targeting 21-26° South Latitude, best fit symmetrically from sun to earth are: Tonga, Kermadec Islands, Loyalty Islands or Easter Islands Region. Other areas that could receive events during this watch are: Christchurch, New Zealand 5.1-5.6 Magnitude. Northern hemisphere watch is for 11-14° Latitude, best fit area mapped symmetrically from Sun to Earth is the Philippines Region.

WATCH: Solar Watcher's forecast for September 15 to 18.


We are already witnessing this heightened activity in earthquakes, with four already exceeding the magnitude of 6 in a 12-hour period, from the Aleutian Islands, Alaska; to the East of the North Island, New Zealand to near the East Coast of Honshu, Japan and to the Cuba Region.

The evidence of this can be seen in the following images (Click on the images for a much detailed and larger view):

U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) list of the latest earthquakes -


The Global Earthquake Map -


The Magnetosphere -


The Live Internet Seismic Server, selected regions of New Zealand, Alaska, China and Japan -


UPDATE: GEOMAGNETIC STORM IN PROGRESS

According to Spaceweather.com, the sun is being peppered with sunspots with a geomagnetic storm currently in progress, as the sunspot number has reached its highest value so far in Solar Cycle 24.
GEOMAGNETIC STORM IN PROGRESS: As predicted by analysts at the Goddard Space Weather Lab, a coronal mass ejection (CME) hit Earth's magnetic field at ~03:30 UT on Sept 17th. The impact set the stage for a moderate geomagnetic storm, in progress. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras.

GLOBAL VOLCANISM: Cleveland Volcano's Behavior is a Challenge for Scientists - Sceptre of an Imminent Widespread Explosive Eruption?!


A volcano in Alaska's Aleutian Islands has been in an unusual low-level eruption for two months, raising the spectre of an explosive eruption with little warning, officials at the Alaska Volcano Observatory said on Friday.

Cleveland Volcano, a 5,676-foot peak located 940 miles southwest of Anchorage, continues to expel lava out its crater, a low-level eruption that began in mid-July, scientists at the Alaska Volcano Observatory said. Satellite imagery shows a lava dome growing inside the volcano's crater. Satellite data also shows continued heat generated from the volcano, according to the observatory, a joint federal-state organization. So far, there have been no signs of ash clouds. But those could come with little warning, scientists said. "The big thing we're concerned about is an explosive eruption," said Steve McNutt of the University of Alaska Fairbanks, a coordinating scientist for the observatory. One worry is that the dome could seal off the crater vent entirely, causing pressure to build until it is released explosively, McNutt said. Or the dome could topple, triggering a molten flow down the mountain that releases gas and ash into the atmosphere while lava and rocks tumble, he said. While Cleveland is one of Alaska's most active volcanoes -- erupting about once a year over the past decade -- its long-running lava flow and dome buildup is something different from past behavior, scientists said. Past eruptions have been mostly brief and explosives, with relatively small ash clouds, said Chris Waythomas, acting scientist-in-charge at the observatory. - WKZO.



THE GREAT DELUGE: 14 Cambodians Die in Floods!


Fourteen Cambodians, half of them children, have been killed in floods in recent days as heavy rains battered the kingdom, an official said on Friday.

Rising waters have inundated large areas of the country, washing through towns and saturating thousands of hectares (acres) of rice paddies, Keo Vy of the National Committee for Disaster Management told AFP. Five children under the age of 12 were among 11 killed in the central province of Kampong Thom over the past week, while a 13-year-old girl died after falling into floodwaters in north-western tourist hub Siem Reap province. In northern Preah Vihear province one child and a woman also drowned in the flooding, he said. - Straits Times.
A high alert was raised by government officials yesterday as flood waters that have reportedly killed six children and one teenager continued to rise on Cambodia’s three largest rivers and the Tonle Sap Lake. The Minister of Water Resources and Meteorology warned yesterday that water levels on the Mekong and Tonle Sap rivers and Cambodia’s giant inland lake had surpassed alert levels. “The people who are living along the Mekong, Tonle Sap, Bassac and other low lying zones are on high alert for the situation,” the minister said. In Kampong Thom, where flood waters have begun subsiding, provincial governor Chhun Chhorn warned urgently needed aid could not be delivered to about one-quarter of some 3,000 people who required it. “Though they are in urgent need, no specific date to provide them with aid has yet been set,” he said. Chhun Chhorn added that 1,771 families had been evacuated by officials in Prasat Sambor district. The Ministry of Water forecast water levels would rise above alert levels in Stung Treng, Kratie and Kampong Cham provinces in the coming days. Uy Sam Ath, Director of the Disaster Management Unit at the Cambodian Red Cross, said six people under 12 years of age had drowned in Kampong Thom’s Brasat Sambo and Sandan districts and Stung Sen town since floods began on September 15. - PhnomPenh Post.
WATCH: NTD News coverage of the floods.

   
 

 

GLOBAL VOLCANISM: Mount Merapi Poses Dangerous Threat!


Mount Merapi in Indonesia has completed its eruption phase, which began last year, according to a volcanologist, however it still remains a dangerous threat.

Subandriyo, the head of the Yogyakarta Volcano Investigation and Technology Development Agency (BPPTK), said that nearly a year after its eruption, Merapi had finally stopped its volcanic activities, signaling that the volcano had completed its eruption phase. “[Merapi] is now back to normal. There are no more rumblings or activities at both the crater and lava chamber,” he said. Based on the BPPTK’s studies, he said, the volatile mountain shows no signs of deformity, an indication of possible eruptions in the future. He added that Merapi’s crater had stabilized and the volcano’s internal pressure was back at a normal level. However, Subandriyo said Merapi might still be dangerous in the future as the hundreds of millions of cubic meters of volcanic ash are still blanketing the mountain. The ash could turn into lahar , or mudflow, during the rainy season and affect areas such as Sleman, and Central Java’s Magelang, Boyolali and Klaten. - Jakarta Globe.
CVGHM reported that during 29 August-4 September white solfatara plumes rose at most 350 m above Merapi and drifted W. On 4 September small avalanches traveled 700 m SW. The Alert Level remained at 2 (on a scale of 1-4). Based on a pilot observation, the Darwin VAAC reported that on 8 September an ash plume rose to an altitude of 3.7 km (12,000 ft) a.s.l. and drifted almost 30 km N. Geologic Summary. Merapi, one of Indonesia's most active volcanoes, lies in one of the world's most densely populated areas and dominates the landscape immediately N of the major city of Yogyakarta. The steep-sided modern Merapi edifice, its upper part unvegetated due to frequent eruptive activity, was constructed to the SW of an arcuate scarp cutting the eroded older Batulawang volcano. Pyroclastic flows and lahars accompanying growth and collapse of the steep-sided active summit lava dome have devastated cultivated and inhabited lands on the volcano's western-to-southern flanks and caused many fatalities during historical time. The volcano is the object of extensive monitoring efforts by the Merapi Volcano Observatory (MVO). - Smithsonian / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report.

Here is the summary of other volcanoes from the Weekly Volcanic Activity Report project between the Smithsonian's Global Volcanism Program and the US Geological Survey's Volcano Hazards Program:
New Activity/Unrest: | Cleveland, Chuginadak Island | Etna, Sicily (Italy) | Hierro, Canary Islands (Spain) | Ibu, Halmahera | Merapi, Central Java (Indonesia) | Ranakah, Flores Island (Indonesia) | Soputan, Sulawesi | Tambora, Sumbawa Island (Indonesia)

Ongoing Activity: | Batu Tara, Komba Island (Indonesia) | Dukono, Halmahera | Karymsky, Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) | Kilauea, Hawaii (USA) | Kizimen, Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) | Puyehue-Cordón Caulle, Central Chile | Sakura-jima, Kyushu | Shiveluch, Central Kamchatka (Russia) | Suwanose-jima, Ryukyu Islands (Japan)

PLANETARY TREMORS: 5.7 Quake Hits Kuril Islands, Russia!


Click on the image for a larger view.
A magnitude 5.7 earthquake has struck the Kuril Islands at a depth of 62 km (38.5 miles). The quake hit at 08:59:30 UTC, Saturday 17th September 2011 and was located at 48.906°N, 154.794°E. The epicentre was 219 km (136 miles) southwest of Severo-Kuril'sk, Kuril Islands, Russia; 531 km (329 miles) southwest of Petropavlovsk-Kamchatskiy, Russia; 664 km (412 miles) northeast of Kuril'sk, Kuril Islands; and 1915 km (1189 miles) northeast of Tokyo, Japan.

No tsunami warning was issued and there are no reports of any damage at this time.

MASS FISH DIE-OFF: Hundreds of Fish at Boca Chica Beach!


County officials said Friday night they were testing the water at Boca Chica beach to determine whether to issue any type of warning after dead fish were found along the shore— possible victims of red tide.

People with asthma or other respiratory problems can be particularly sensitive to red tide, and there were already reports of people reacting to something at the beach. Cameron County Commissioner Sofia C. Benavides, of Precinct 1, visited the shore Friday and reported that the water was not red. However, she said she experienced irritation to her throat, a common symptom of red tide. Willie Cupit, a Texas Parks and Wildlife Department coastal ecologist, said Friday morning he hadn’t received a report of the fish kill, but that it would be investigated. Cupit said Thursday that the presence of red tide in the Brownsville Ship Channel was confirmed. “We were kind of holding our breath. It’s going to spread. It’s just kind of a waiting game,” he said Friday. “You can’t really pre-dict where it’s going to go.” Benavides drove out to Boca Chica beach Friday afternoon and found that small dead fish washed up all along the shore. She said health officials were expected to go there to inspect the situation. Officials said they didn’t think the beach would be closed. - Brownsville Herald.

MASS FISH DIE-OFF: Red Tide Killing Abalone off California!


The sudden death of thousands of red abalone and other invertebrates along the Sonoma County Coast over the past few weeks has prompted state wildlife officials to propose an indefinite ban on abalone fishing while biologists search for a cause.


The California Fish and Game Commission passed an emergency order Thursday to close the only abalone fishery in the state after continued reports of dead mollusks along the shoreline and in the water in Bodega Bay, Russian Gulch, Fort Ross, Timber Cove and Salt Point State Park. California Department of Fish and Game officials said the mass die-off was caused by an unusual and virulent red tide. "It is an unprecedented event," said Ian Taniguchi, the senior marine biologist for fish and game. "It's definitely going to affect the fishery. It is such a significant event that it may change how we manage the overall abalone fishery in the future." Taniguchi said the red tide, which is a large bloom of phytoplankton, suddenly appeared late last month. Abalone divers reported a dark reddish brown tide and very low visibility. On Aug. 27, huge numbers of dead abalone, urchins, starfish and gumboot chitons, an oval shaped mollusk, were strewn all over the beaches, he said. The carnage continued at a startling pace. Tom Jahng, 39, who was diving in the Fort Ross and Timber Cove areas on Sept. 5, said he encountered the rotting carcasses of hundreds of abalone and other mollusks on the beach and lying underwater. - SF Gate.