FARSIDE EXPLOSION: As solar activity picks up on the Earthside of the sun, the farside of the sun is coming alive, too. During the early hours of Nov. 9th, a magnetic filament located behind the sun's southeastern limb erupted, hurling a bright coronal mass ejection (CME) into space. This explosion was not geoeffective, but future explosions might be. The blast site, still potent, is just days away from rotating onto the Earthside of the sun. - Spaceweather.
FILAMENT ERUPTION NEAR 1608 + CME: A filament eruption was just observed over the last several hours around sunspot 1608. This region is in a good Earth facing position and a Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) is now visible. A portion of the cloud looks to be Earth directed.WATCH: Filament Eruption and Earth-Directed CME - November 9, 2012.
CME UPDATE: The brand new CME Prediction Model released by the Goddard Space Flight Center shows a potential for an Earth impact by late on November 12. A majority of the slow moving plasma cloud appears to be headed south, however a glancing blow impact will be possible. This could lead to an increase in geomagnetic activity and aurora at high latitudes. - Solar Ham.
UPDATE: NOAA - Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted!
According to the NOAA / Space Weather Prediction Center, a geomagnetic storm of category G1 is predicted:
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.
Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Nov 11: None (Below G1) Nov 12: G1 (Minor) Nov 13: G1 (Minor)
THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT