February 12, 2012 - SPACE - An asteroid half the size of a football field will buzz close by Earth
on Friday, coming closer than many weather satellites, but there is
absolutely no chance the space rock will hit the planet, NASA says. The
asteroid 2012 DA14
will approach within 17,200 miles (27,000 kilometers) of Earth when it
zips by the planet on Friday (Feb. 15). It will be 5,000 miles closer
than the ring of weather, communications and GPS navigation satellites
that orbit the Earth, but it
poses no impact threat, NASA scientists assured.
According to detailed observations of the 150-foot (45 meters) 2012
DA14 since its discovery last year, "there is no chance that the
asteroid might be on a collision course with Earth," NASA officials said
in a statement. But the space rock encounter will mark the closest-ever known Earth flyby of an asteroid the
size of 2012 DA14,
with NASA scientists and astronomers around the world preparing to take
advantage of the event to take a close look at how asteroids work. One study in particular seeks to pin down exactly how the asteroid spins on its axis. "Knowing the direction of spin is essential to accurately predicting its
future path, and thus determining just how close it will get to Earth
in the coming years," study leader Michael Busch of the National Radio
Astronomy Observatory (NRAO) said in a statement.
Busch and his colleagues will use two huge radio telescopes in New
Mexico, the Very Large Array and Very Long Baseline Array, along with
NASA's Goldstone radar antenna in California in an attempt to determine
the direction of asteroid 2012 DA's spin. The telescopes seek out so-called "speckles" in the radio signals
reflected by the asteroid's uneven surface, and then compare which
observatory detected the speckles first in order to determine the spin
direction. Knowing an asteroid's spin is key to understanding how a space rock
radiates heat from absorbed sunlight over time. That, in turn, can allow
astronomers to project how an asteroid's orbit can change over long
periods as it circles the sun.
Asteroids,
like Earth, have a warmest part of their day, during which time they
develop a hotspot that can be observed in infrared light. Later, the
asteroid emits the absorbed radiation back out into space, which can
serve as a gentle — but firm — jet-like push forward, researchers said.
WATCH: Animation for the asteroid's path.
The phenomenon is called the "Yarkovsky effect" after the
19th-century Russian engineer I.O. Yarkovsky, who first identified it. "When the asteroid passes close to the Earth or another large body, its
orbit can be changed quickly by the gravitational effect of the larger
body, but the Yarkovsky Effect, though smaller, is at work all the
time," Busch said.
 |
| This diagram shows how the Yarkovsky Effect slows an asteroid's orbital motion; opposite rotation direction would speed up the orbital motion. Astronomers around the world are preparing to study the close approach of asteroid 2012 DA14 on Feb. 15, 2013. CREDIT: Alexandra Bolling, NRAO/AUI/NSF. |
Asteroid 2012 DA14 was discovered in 2012 by astronomers with the La
Sagra Sky Survey at the Astronomical Observatory of Mallorca in Spain.
The asteroid will make its closest approach to Earth at 2:24 p.m. EST
(1924 GMT) Friday, at which time it may be visible in telescopes and
binoculars to observers in Asia, Australia and Europe, where the local
time will be nighttime.
Visit SPACE.com each day this week for
complete coverage of asteroid 2012 DA14 and its Earth flyby. - SPACE.
'Record Close' Asteroid May Miss The Earth, But It Could Take Out Your Phone.
Scientists have dismissed fears an asteroid due to whizz past the Earth on Friday will 'destroy London' - but it could take out vital telecommunications satellites. Scientists say they are sure there is no chance of the 150ft (45.7m) wide space rock hitting the planet. But there is a remote possibility that it could collide with one of more than 100 telecommunication and weather satellites in fixed orbits above the Earth. The asteroid, 2012 DA14, has been closely tracked since its discovery a year ago. It is predicted to reach its nearest point to the Earth at around 7.30pm UK time on Friday. Experts have calculated it will stay at least 17,200 miles (27,681km) away - easily far enough to be safe, but a very close shave in astronomical terms. Scientists have never observed such a narrow miss before. Dr Dan Brown, from Nottingham Trent University, said telecommunication satellites - that ping data between our mobile phones - could be in danger. Travelling at between 12,427mph (20,000kph) and 18,641mph (30,000kph) - around five miles (8km) a second, or eight times the speed of a rifle bullet - the asteroid will fly inside the orbits of high geostationary satellites some 22,000 miles (35,406km) above the Earth.
 |
| The path of asteroid 2012 DA14's approach to earth is shown in this graphic from NASA. Photo: NASA/REUTERS. |
''These are the satellites that provide us with telecommunications and weather forecasts,'' said Dr Brown. ''There are loads of them but you're talking about a very big area. It would be very unlucky if a satellite was hit. The asteroid is more likely to hit some space junk, but most of this is only about a centimetre across and the impact won't even be noticed.'' Through binoculars, the object should be visible as a tiny dot of light crossing the sky. ''It will be too faint for the naked eye but with binoculars it should be visible if you know where to look. It will be low to the north-eastern horizon and moving quite quickly," said Dr Brown. ''You'll be able to see it pass from the constellation Leo to roughly the Plough, more or less from anywhere in the UK, and it will be bright for about an hour.'' DA14 belongs to dangerous family of near-Earth objects (NEOs) that are small enough to be missed but large enough to cause serious damage. It was detected in February last year by La Sagra Observatory in southern Spain as it fell under the spotlight of the Sun's rays. The asteroid will pose no danger to the International Space Station, which orbits at an altitude of only a few hundred kilometres. Precise calculations showed there was absolutely no possibility of DA14 hitting the Earth, Dr Brown said. But scientists had a good idea of what the effect of such an impact would be because a similar sized meteor devastated a remote region of Siberia in 1908. Exploding a short distance above the ground over Tunguska, the object generated a blast 1,000 times more powerful than the atom bomb dropped on Hiroshima. Forest was completely flattened over an area of 830 square miles (2,150 sq km).
WATCH: 2012 DA14 Flyby.
"'We think the object that impacted at Tunguska would have been of a similar size to DA14,'' said Dr Brown. ''Actually, it exploded in the air. It didn't destroy humanity, but if this object had exploded over London it would have wiped out London. It's not a global impact, but it's a severe impact.'' During the flypast, scientists will use radar to study DA14 and learn about its composition and structure. The knowledge could prove useful if steps have to be taken to remove the threat of another space rock. The ''Hollywood option'' of blowing up an incoming asteroid has been ruled out by experts. Such a dramatic solution would only result in deadly debris raining down on Earth. Instead, scientists are looking at ways of gently nudging an asteroid onto a safer trajectory. A future mission planned by the American space agency Nasa, called Dart, will fire a probe into an asteroid to see if it can be moved. However, this may not be for another 10 or 20 years, said Dr Brown. Meanwhile astronomers are currently tracking up to 400 NEOs that, like DA14, have been categorised as a potential threat. While a number are about the same size as DA14 ''there will also be some considerably larger,'' Dr Brown added. The American space agency Nasa launched its NEO programme 15 years ago with the aim of finding all ''extinction event'' asteroids and comets 0.62 miles (1km) across and larger. Later, it started focusing on smaller objects. Dr Don Yeomans, who manages Nasa's near-Earth object office at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, California, said at a press conference held by the agency: ''Probably we'd not have found DA14 10 years ago and not known about this close approach. But we still have a lot of improvement to do in finding all of the hazardous asteroids.'' Experts will soon be gathering at the United Nations to discuss how to monitor and deal with potentially dangerous space objects. Fewer than 10,000 of the asteroids which could one day pose a threat to the Earth have so far been identified. Dr Lindley Johnson, who heads Nasa's NEO observations programme, said: ''That does represent less than 10 per cent of all the objects that may be out there. It does take quite a bit of capability, both in sensitivity - the ability to detect these small objects - and also time. ''It is an effort that will take another decade or two even if we have the most sophisticated systems that feasible technology will allow us.'' -
Telegraph.
WATCH: Bill Nye - Asteroid 2012 DA 14 Will Miss Earth By "15 MINUTES!"